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  <body>&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Scenario:&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;em&gt; "Dude, we need to build a rockin' beta-ready product first. Then, we'll test it. Yay!"&lt;/em&gt; The problem with waiting until your product reaches that beta stage?  Your financial risks increase exponentially in:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Resources.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Time.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Morale.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Lost opportunities.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Cash, cash, cash.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Now, let's say you build your beta-ready product 9 months later.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What if the market reacts negatively to that product?&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt; The pessimistic side would tell you to give up.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; The optimistic side would tell you: "Wait, that just means we have to refine the product to their needs more!"&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;
&lt;p&gt;You're choosing the right path with that last answer. But when you do, it hits you:  &lt;span class="highlight"&gt;"We wasted 9 months in lost resources, time, morale, lost opportunities, and cash -- when we could've received the same frickin' &lt;/span&gt;feedback 8 months earlier!"  Instead, do this:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Build something quickly that's test-ready.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;span class="highlight"&gt;Then start testing the sucka.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Measure the results: Are they promising?
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;If not, dump it -- you just saved lots of resources for better innovations.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;If results however looking promising, juice up more investments into it.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class="highlight"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Do that in a continuous cycle, and you'll build one ridiculously awesome innovation machine.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Why Spending Loads of Time on Something Sucks&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;You're no fortune teller.  No one is.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Yet, you hear stories of Timmy Toothie on the other side of the town locked in his basement conceptualizing the next world-changing innovation that will make him billions.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;You hear a similar story happening with Susie Saddy in Tulsa.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In fact, a close acquaintance just told you (1) he has the perfect idea, but (2) he can't tell you, and (3) he's so self-assured with his looming success that he's acting all self-pretentious on yo ass wondering why the !@#$ you don't have a spiffy idea of your own.  They're all trying to predict the future.  In other words, they're speculating what will happen.  &lt;span class="highlight"&gt;They're using a snapshot in time to predict a frickin' moving world months/years/yadda later.&lt;/span&gt; &lt;strong&gt;If the most experienced Silicon Valley venture capitalists still get it wrong, what makes them think they're ridicuslously better at predicting the future?&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Segway -- heralded by Innovation Machine Man Steve Jobs as one of the greatest ever inventions, and the best VCs -- took a nosedive when it hit the market.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class="highlight"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Predicting the future seems plausible; but, it's frickin' impossible.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt; But, if you still think you can: trash whatever idea you have; those multi-billion dollar Wall Street firms want your brain.  They'll give you trillions.  The better way to innovating:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Build Just Enough for Testing&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Only the real-world market decides if your product's successful.  So:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Get your idea into your customers' hands as quickly -- with as few resources -- as humanly possible.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; See how much you could sell.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Measure the results, then proceed accordingly.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That way, you:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Minimize risks.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Maximize chances of success.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class="highlight"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Religiously follow that cycle over the long-term, and you'll boost your success rate like a mofo.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;You'll Lose Money. No Big Deal.&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Think about it this way:  If you played a coin-flip game where:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;You'd &lt;strong&gt;get $100&lt;/strong&gt; for every time the coin lands on head.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;You'd &lt;strong&gt;lose $90&lt;/strong&gt; for every time the coin lands on tails.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;You'd play that game with anyone, anywhere, at anytime.&lt;/strong&gt; Sure, you'll lose from time-to-time. $90 here, $90 there.   &lt;span class="highlight"&gt;But the more you play it, the more the odds will favor you -- and the more money you'll eventually make.&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class="highlight"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Your winnings will more than make up for your losses.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt; As in Poker, you don't worry about the individual results; instead, you focus on making consistently good decisions over time that will pull you ahead in the long-run.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Think of innovating the same way.&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Conservatively, think:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;1 product will succeed for every 10 products you do.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;That 1 product will more than make up for the failures.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class="highlight"&gt;The more times you go through that cycle (e.g. 20 products will produce 2 successes, etc., etc.), the more you'll pull ahead -- and, the more ridiculously rich your company will be.&lt;/span&gt; You could:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;(1) take years draining resources to go through 1 cycle, or:&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;(2) take a few months conserving resources to go through it 10 times.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The faster you do it, the sexier off you'll be.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Go through it like a juiced-up ostrich on 'roids:  &lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Build test product quickly.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Test how much you can sell.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; If results look promising, invest more. (If not, dump it.)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt; Restart at #1.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt; Win.&lt;/h2&gt;</body>
  <created-at type="datetime">2007-05-23T16:14:58+10:00</created-at>
  <favorite type="boolean">true</favorite>
  <id type="integer">547</id>
  <permalink>how-to-innovate-successfully</permalink>
  <points-required type="integer">0</points-required>
  <title>How to Innovate Successfully</title>
  <updated-at type="datetime">2009-11-07T15:45:46+10:00</updated-at>
</tip>
